Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Beagle 56.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 85.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 62.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Lazar
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lazar
Beagle
Last 9: Lazar 5-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Lazar
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Beagle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
57.5% (4,994)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
60.5% (119)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
54.2% (1,554)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Lazar
Beagle
Home
50.1% (1,542)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Lazar
Beagle
P1
48.9%
57.4%
P2
48.9%
57.1%
P3
49.5%
56.2%
OT
56.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |