Curtis Lazar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 59.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lazar
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
59.2% (502)
+1.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
69.6% (23)
-69.6%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
61.3% (163)
-5.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lazar is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Lazar shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Lazar
Pageau
Home
63.0% (127)
59.5% (299)
Away
51.9% (79)
60.4% (389)
By Period
Lazar
Pageau
P1
60.6%
55.3%
P2
59.7%
62.2%
P3
55.6%
61.1%
Final 5 min
67.3%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%