Curtis Lazar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 64.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lazar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Pageau
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Lazar
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
57.1% (905)
-8.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.2% (116)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
48.0% (204)
+2.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Lazar
Pageau
Home
49.2% (189)
57.0% (618)
Away
48.3% (176)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Lazar
Pageau
P1
50.8%
54.4%
P2
45.2%
61.0%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |