Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Rooney 46.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 57.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Lazar
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lazar
Rooney
Last 9: Lazar 5-4 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Rooney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
4
Lazar
Rooney
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
46.7% (2,042)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
41.7% (48)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
43.4% (267)
-1.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Lazar
Rooney
Home
50.1% (1,542)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Lazar
Rooney
P1
48.9%
48.1%
P2
48.9%
47.1%
P3
49.5%
43.6%
OT
56.5%
12.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |