Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 80.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 56.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lazar
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lazar
Draisaitl
Last 6: Lazar 1-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Lazar
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Lazar
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
52.4% (974)
+0.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.5% (373)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
61.0% (123)
-27.7%
On power play, Lazar has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Lazar
Draisaitl
Home
57.1% (119)
54.5% (778)
Away
47.1% (153)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Lazar
Draisaitl
P1
53.1%
54.6%
P2
52.2%
56.1%
P3
48.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
42.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |