Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Reichel 41.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 57.6%
Neutral zone
Reichel 57.7%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lazar
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lazar
Reichel
Last 7: Lazar 3-4 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
3
Lazar
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
40.1% (668)
+10.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
48.2% (56)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
0.0% (6)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lazar
Reichel
Home
50.1% (1,542)
41.2% (410)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Lazar
Reichel
P1
48.9%
41.9%
P2
48.9%
36.3%
P3
49.5%
42.8%
OT
56.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |