Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Reichel 42.1% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 59.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 53.9%
Neutral zone
Reichel 59.5%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Lazar
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lazar
Reichel
Last 7: Lazar 3-4 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
3
Lazar
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
39.1% (327)
+12.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (28)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
0.0% (1)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Reichel is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Lazar
Reichel
Home
49.7% (163)
43.7% (206)
Away
52.3% (237)
34.7% (150)
By Period
Lazar
Reichel
P1
46.9%
35.5%
P2
53.3%
39.5%
P3
53.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
35.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |