Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Kunin 46.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kunin 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 64.8%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Lazar
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lazar
Kunin
Last 8: Lazar 3-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Lazar
Kunin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Lazar
Kunin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
47.1% (1,622)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
46.4% (138)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
40.2% (333)
+1.7%
On power play, Lazar has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Kunin is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kunin
Home
50.1% (1,542)
45.5% (1,048)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
46.4% (1,045)
By Period
Lazar
Kunin
P1
48.9%
47.9%
P2
48.9%
45.7%
P3
49.5%
43.9%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |