Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 67.4%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 77.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.5%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Lazar
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lazar
Hendricks
Last 7: Lazar 6-1 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
55.0% (1,616)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
52.6% (38)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
48.4% (446)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hendricks
Home
50.1% (1,542)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Lazar
Hendricks
P1
48.9%
53.2%
P2
48.9%
53.3%
P3
49.5%
53.6%
OT
56.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |