Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Domi 50.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 63.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Lazar
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Domi
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Lazar
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
49.7% (499)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.8% (44)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
0.0% (1)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Lazar
Domi
Home
49.7% (163)
51.0% (298)
Away
52.3% (237)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Lazar
Domi
P1
46.9%
54.8%
P2
53.3%
48.9%
P3
53.3%
46.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |