Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lazar wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lazar
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Lazar
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Lazar
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
2
Lazar
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
50.8% (11,540)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
52.2% (1,848)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
41.3% (1,766)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Lazar shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,628).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (1,541)
51.6% (7,444)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
48.3% (7,711)
By Period
Lazar
Zibanejad
P1
48.4%
50.4%
P2
48.8%
49.7%
P3
49.1%
49.8%
OT
56.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |