Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Granlund 48.4% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 59.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 93.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 78.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Lazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Lazar
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
48.7% (446)
+15.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.6% (99)
-56.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
31.1% (61)
+25.2%
On power play, Granlund has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Lazar
Granlund
Home
63.3% (128)
53.3% (255)
Away
59.3% (118)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Lazar
Granlund
P1
64.6%
51.3%
P2
60.5%
48.8%
P3
59.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
68.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |