Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 75.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 64.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Lazar
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lazar
Koivu
Last 7: Lazar 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Lazar
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Lazar
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
54.0% (9,465)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
48.9% (1,688)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Lazar
Koivu
Home
50.0% (1,541)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Lazar
Koivu
P1
48.4%
53.5%
P2
48.8%
54.6%
P3
49.1%
54.0%
OT
56.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |