Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Koivu 54.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 73.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 62.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Lazar
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lazar
Koivu
Last 7: Lazar 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Lazar
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Lazar
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
54.0% (9,465)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
48.9% (1,688)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Lazar
Koivu
Home
50.1% (1,542)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Lazar
Koivu
P1
48.9%
53.5%
P2
48.9%
54.6%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
OT
56.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |