Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Koivu 55.8% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 63.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Lazar
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lazar
Koivu
Last 5: Lazar 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Lazar
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Lazar
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Lazar
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
56.6% (1,247)
-12.3%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
61.6% (344)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
41.3% (167)
-11.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Lazar
Koivu
Home
45.0% (202)
58.1% (850)
Away
42.3% (182)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Lazar
Koivu
P1
45.5%
55.3%
P2
43.0%
57.2%
P3
42.1%
55.1%
OT
66.7%
77.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |