Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Geekie 49.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 72.0%
Defensive zone
Geekie 64.8%
Neutral zone
Geekie 72.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Lazar
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lazar
Geekie
Last 6: Lazar 1-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Lazar
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Lazar
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
49.9% (505)
+3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
0.0% (6)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
48.4% (93)
-15.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Geekie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Lazar
Geekie
Home
57.1% (119)
50.0% (314)
Away
47.1% (153)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Lazar
Geekie
P1
53.1%
51.3%
P2
52.2%
46.9%
P3
48.8%
49.5%
Final 5 min
42.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.5%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |