Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Walker on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Walker 51.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 73.4%
Neutral zone
Walker 53.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lazar
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lazar
Walker
Last 6: Lazar 3-3 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Walker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
1
3
Lazar
Walker
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
52.9% (138)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (4)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
50.0% (14)
-2.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Walker is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Lazar
Walker
Home
49.7% (163)
48.8% (84)
Away
52.3% (237)
56.9% (72)
By Period
Lazar
Walker
P1
46.9%
54.3%
P2
53.3%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |