Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Kadri 49.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 64.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 50.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Lazar
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Kadri
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
47.7% (1,087)
-3.4%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
56.9% (195)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
54.5% (22)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Kadri is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kadri
Home
45.0% (202)
51.1% (664)
Away
42.3% (182)
47.2% (640)
By Period
Lazar
Kadri
P1
45.5%
48.9%
P2
43.0%
48.1%
P3
42.1%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |