Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Kadri 49.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 78.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 66.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lazar
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lazar
Kadri
Last 7: Lazar 3-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Lazar
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Lazar
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
47.7% (975)
+1.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
54.0% (226)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On power play, Kadri has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kadri
Home
49.2% (189)
48.3% (621)
Away
48.3% (176)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Lazar
Kadri
P1
50.8%
48.1%
P2
45.2%
48.9%
P3
50.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |