Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Acciari 53.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 77.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Lazar
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
55.6% (426)
-6.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
52.1% (146)
-2.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Lazar
Acciari
Home
49.2% (189)
55.2% (306)
Away
48.3% (176)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Lazar
Acciari
P1
50.8%
55.5%
P2
45.2%
54.3%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |