Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 76.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Lazar
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lazar
Zacha
Last 8: Lazar 6-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
1
Lazar
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
48.9% (5,102)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
55.6% (804)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
42.2% (555)
-0.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zacha
Home
50.1% (1,542)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Lazar
Zacha
P1
48.9%
49.9%
P2
48.9%
49.2%
P3
49.5%
48.1%
OT
56.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |