Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 78.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Lazar
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
54.1% (534)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.0% (109)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.8% (96)
+2.4%
On power play, Lazar has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zacha
Home
49.7% (163)
53.4% (406)
Away
52.3% (237)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Lazar
Zacha
P1
46.9%
56.8%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
53.3%
49.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |