Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Zacha 51.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 59.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Lazar
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lazar
Zacha
Last 7: Lazar 5-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
53.3% (411)
-3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
51.8% (114)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
42.0% (81)
-5.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lazar is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Lazar shoots right. Zacha is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zacha
Home
47.8% (157)
52.2% (295)
Away
47.8% (178)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Lazar
Zacha
P1
41.7%
50.5%
P2
50.8%
51.3%
P3
50.0%
52.0%
OT
75.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |