Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Hintz 49.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 86.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 75.1%
Neutral zone
Hintz 51.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Lazar
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Hintz
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Lazar
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
51.6% (285)
+2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
44.0% (50)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
30.0% (10)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Lazar shoots right. Hintz is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hintz
Home
53.1% (211)
52.3% (176)
Away
48.7% (150)
47.3% (169)
By Period
Lazar
Hintz
P1
45.3%
48.2%
P2
52.8%
53.4%
P3
54.7%
48.2%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |