Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Hintz 53.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 52.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lazar
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lazar
Hintz
Last 6: Lazar 3-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Lazar
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
53.6% (711)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.8% (93)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
58.7% (46)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hintz
Home
49.7% (163)
52.6% (460)
Away
52.3% (237)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Lazar
Hintz
P1
46.9%
59.0%
P2
53.3%
52.7%
P3
53.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |