Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Colton 51.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.0%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Lazar
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lazar
Colton
Last 9: Lazar 7-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
51.6% (1,800)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
48.8% (162)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
34.5% (29)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Lazar
Colton
Home
50.1% (1,542)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Lazar
Colton
P1
48.9%
53.5%
P2
48.9%
52.6%
P3
49.5%
47.9%
OT
56.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |