Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Colton 51.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 57.8%
Defensive zone
Colton 54.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lazar
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lazar
Colton
Last 7: Lazar 6-1 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
52.1% (741)
-3.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
48.3% (60)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Lazar
Colton
Home
49.2% (189)
54.0% (411)
Away
48.3% (176)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Lazar
Colton
P1
50.8%
56.7%
P2
45.2%
53.1%
P3
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |