Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Bennett 45.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 82.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 64.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 69.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Lazar
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lazar
Bennett
Last 6: Lazar 1-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Lazar
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Lazar
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Lazar
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
44.7% (772)
+4.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
56.9% (58)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.9% (28)
+7.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Lazar
Bennett
Home
49.2% (189)
48.5% (447)
Away
48.3% (176)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Lazar
Bennett
P1
50.8%
47.1%
P2
45.2%
45.8%
P3
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |