Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Couturier 53.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 60.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 69.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Lazar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
53.4% (758)
+10.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.9% (70)
-62.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
50.7% (227)
+5.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Lazar
Couturier
Home
63.3% (128)
50.7% (517)
Away
59.3% (118)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Lazar
Couturier
P1
64.6%
55.2%
P2
60.5%
53.0%
P3
59.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
68.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |