Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 61.7%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 84.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 69.3%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Lazar
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lazar
Horcoff
Last 5: Lazar 4-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
51.2% (537)
-6.9%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
66.7% (15)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
47.3% (74)
-17.9%
On power play, Horcoff has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Horcoff is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Lazar
Horcoff
Home
45.0% (202)
52.5% (343)
Away
42.3% (182)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Lazar
Horcoff
P1
45.5%
48.2%
P2
43.0%
52.2%
P3
42.1%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |