Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 63.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lazar
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lazar
Horcoff
Last 5: Lazar 4-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
50.6% (3,133)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
51.4% (555)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
43.0% (567)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Lazar
Horcoff
Home
50.1% (1,542)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Lazar
Horcoff
P1
48.9%
48.2%
P2
48.9%
49.5%
P3
49.5%
50.9%
OT
56.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |