Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Washe 55.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Washe 54.8%
Defensive zone
Washe 52.8%
Neutral zone
Washe 60.0%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Lazar
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Washe
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Washe
1
2
Lazar
Washe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Washe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Lazar
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
59.5% (264)
+4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
100.0% (3)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
40.4% (57)
+15.9%
On power play, Washe has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Washe is 67.4% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Lazar
Washe
Home
63.0% (135)
61.4% (145)
Away
59.3% (118)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Lazar
Washe
P1
64.6%
57.4%
P2
60.0%
59.6%
P3
59.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
67.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Washe
56.0%▬
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Tim Washe |