Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Zajac 54.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 84.7%
Defensive zone
Zajac 66.0%
Neutral zone
Zajac 77.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Lazar
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lazar
Zajac
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
54.4% (9,056)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
59.1% (1,498)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
48.6% (1,599)
-6.7%
On power play, Zajac has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zajac
Home
50.1% (1,542)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Lazar
Zajac
P1
48.9%
53.8%
P2
48.9%
55.6%
P3
49.5%
53.6%
OT
56.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 17, 2014 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |