Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Motte 44.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 58.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 77.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 64.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lazar
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lazar
Motte
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Motte
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Motte
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
43.6% (424)
+6.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
41.7% (12)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
37.9% (66)
+3.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Motte is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lazar
Motte
Home
50.0% (1,541)
45.2% (248)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Lazar
Motte
P1
48.4%
44.6%
P2
48.8%
42.1%
P3
49.1%
41.8%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |