Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Motte 44.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 57.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 76.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 63.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Lazar
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lazar
Motte
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Motte
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Motte
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
43.6% (424)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
41.7% (12)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
37.9% (66)
+4.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Motte is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lazar
Motte
Home
50.1% (1,542)
45.2% (248)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Lazar
Motte
P1
48.9%
44.6%
P2
48.9%
42.1%
P3
49.5%
41.8%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |