Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 75.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 56.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Lazar
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lazar
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
55.0% (956)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.8% (266)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
56.3% (64)
-23.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Lazar
Trocheck
Home
57.1% (119)
57.7% (673)
Away
47.1% (153)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Lazar
Trocheck
P1
53.1%
55.4%
P2
52.2%
55.6%
P3
48.8%
56.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |