Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 60.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Lazar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lazar
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
56.3% (739)
-7.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
58.6% (181)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Lazar
Karlsson
Home
49.2% (189)
56.5% (462)
Away
48.3% (176)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Lazar
Karlsson
P1
50.8%
57.1%
P2
45.2%
55.2%
P3
50.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | William Karlsson |