Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.3% vs Drury 57.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 77.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 85.9%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 50.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Gauthier
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gauthier
Drury
Last 8: Gauthier 4-4 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Drury
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
4
Gauthier
Drury
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (156)
58.0% (1,975)
-13.8%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
58.5% (118)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
52.1% (292)
-2.1%
On even strength, Drury has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Gauthier is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Gauthier shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Drury
Home
53.3% (120)
58.3% (1,212)
Away
39.5% (129)
56.3% (1,173)
By Period
Gauthier
Drury
P1
44.1%
56.0%
P2
47.4%
58.6%
P3
46.6%
57.0%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.2%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jack Drury |