Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.3%). Gauthier wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.3% vs Oshie 46.4% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 67.0%
Defensive zone
Oshie 67.3%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 53.3%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Gauthier
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (156)
45.2% (764)
-1.0%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
47.7% (1,221)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
40.2% (164)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Gauthier is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Gauthier shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Oshie
Home
53.3% (120)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
39.5% (129)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Gauthier
Oshie
P1
44.1%
47.3%
P2
47.4%
45.2%
P3
46.6%
46.7%
OT
60.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%