Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 50.8% vs Spezza 53.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.1%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 57.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Zubrus
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zubrus
Spezza
Last 5: Zubrus 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Zubrus
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
0
Zubrus
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
0
Zubrus
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (319)
53.9% (1,097)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
54.8% (250)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (88)
52.8% (89)
+0.6%
On even strength, Spezza has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Zubrus is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Zubrus shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Spezza
Home
55.9% (220)
55.8% (695)
Away
45.6% (204)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Zubrus
Spezza
P1
53.9%
50.3%
P2
52.9%
54.7%
P3
46.7%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
73.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |