Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 49.7% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 74.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Zubrus
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Zubrus
Spezza
Last 10: Zubrus 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
4
3
Zubrus
Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
0
Zubrus
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
0
Zubrus
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,069)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.1%
Power Play
58.1% (179)
56.8% (1,726)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (192)
52.7% (643)
-3.2%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Zubrus is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (497).
Zubrus shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Spezza
Home
52.2% (761)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.0% (694)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Zubrus
Spezza
P1
51.3%
55.7%
P2
52.2%
54.4%
P3
45.9%
54.1%
OT
47.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |