Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 53.0% vs Gambrell 44.6% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 86.1%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 56.3%
Neutral zone
Joshua 80.7%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Joshua
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Joshua
Gambrell
Last 5: Joshua 4-1 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
0
Joshua
Gambrell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (63)
44.6% (500)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.1% (129)
+58.9%
On penalty kill, Joshua has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Joshua is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Joshua shoots left. Gambrell is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Joshua
Gambrell
Home
12.5% (8)
41.6% (363)
Away
64.3% (56)
46.7% (274)
By Period
Joshua
Gambrell
P1
68.0%
42.2%
P2
50.0%
46.2%
P3
53.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
57.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
57.8%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |