Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Joshua wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.4% vs Gambrell 49.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 76.5%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 72.0%
Neutral zone
Joshua 63.6%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Joshua
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Joshua
Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
1
0
Joshua
Gambrell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (75)
51.4% (504)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Joshua is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Joshua shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Joshua
Gambrell
Home
47.7% (44)
46.7% (240)
Away
61.3% (31)
50.3% (364)
By Period
Joshua
Gambrell
P1
61.5%
43.0%
P2
48.1%
53.7%
P3
50.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
53.3%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |