Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Joshua wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kellman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 53.0% vs Kellman 49.7% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 68.9%
Defensive zone
Joshua 53.6%
Neutral zone
Joshua 70.5%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Joshua
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Joshua
Kellman
Last 6: Joshua 5-1 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
0
Joshua
Kellman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Joshua
Kellman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
0
Joshua
Kellman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (63)
46.2% (52)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Joshua has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Joshua is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Joshua shoots left. Kellman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Joshua
Kellman
Home
12.5% (8)
40.0% (20)
Away
64.3% (56)
54.3% (35)
By Period
Joshua
Kellman
P1
68.0%
44.4%
P2
50.0%
52.9%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
90.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
57.8%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Joel Kellman |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |