Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 50.5% vs Kellman 48.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 74.1%
Defensive zone
Kellman 55.0%
Neutral zone
Joshua 65.0%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Joshua
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Joshua
Kellman
Last 6: Joshua 5-1 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
0
Joshua
Kellman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Joshua
Kellman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
0
Joshua
Kellman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (288)
46.5% (275)
+5.2%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
75.0% (8)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
50.0% (10)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Kellman has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Joshua is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Joshua shoots left. Kellman is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Joshua
Kellman
Home
48.3% (149)
42.5% (146)
Away
52.7% (167)
52.4% (147)
By Period
Joshua
Kellman
P1
55.6%
48.0%
P2
44.2%
53.3%
P3
52.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
50.6%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Joel Kellman |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |