Scouting Report
Dalibor Dvorsky holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 59.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 55.8%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Dvorsky
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorsky
Carlsson
Last 5: Dvorsky 3-2 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Dvorsky
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
2
0
Dvorsky
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
45.5% (661)
+1.6%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
46.3% (82)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (84)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorsky has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Dvorsky shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Carlsson
Home
46.6% (264)
42.5% (428)
Away
46.3% (324)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Dvorsky
Carlsson
P1
48.3%
45.4%
P2
44.7%
39.7%
P3
46.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |