Dalibor Dvorsky vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorsky on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Dvorsky
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dvorsky
Duchene
Last 9: Dvorsky 5-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Dvorsky
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
3
2
Dvorsky
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
2
1
Dvorsky
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (520)
53.9% (10,396)
-6.8%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
56.9% (1,665)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.1% (468)
+0.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Dvorsky shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Duchene
Home
46.5% (269)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.5% (325)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Dvorsky
Duchene
P1
47.8%
54.5%
P2
44.7%
54.5%
P3
46.9%
53.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |