Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs McLeod 47.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 78.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 64.3%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Dvorsky
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorsky
McLeod
Last 5: Dvorsky 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Dvorsky
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Dvorsky
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
49.2% (796)
-2.1%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
44.8% (87)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.3% (263)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorsky has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Dvorsky shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
McLeod
Home
46.6% (264)
49.2% (575)
Away
46.3% (324)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dvorsky
McLeod
P1
48.3%
52.8%
P2
44.7%
45.1%
P3
46.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |