Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.0% vs McLeod 49.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 76.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 67.4%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Dvorsky
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorsky
McLeod
Last 5: Dvorsky 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Dvorsky
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Dvorsky
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (520)
50.4% (3,345)
-3.3%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
51.0% (292)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.3% (635)
+5.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Dvorsky shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
McLeod
Home
46.5% (269)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
46.5% (325)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Dvorsky
McLeod
P1
47.8%
50.8%
P2
44.7%
48.4%
P3
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |