Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 65.2%
Defensive zone
Brière 68.5%
Neutral zone
Brière 66.8%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Brière
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brière
Duchene
Last 6: Brière 1-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Brière
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
3
Brière
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Brière
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,812)
53.9% (10,396)
-6.3%
Power Play
54.0% (309)
56.9% (1,665)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
49.1% (468)
+3.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brière is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,504).
Brière shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Brière
Duchene
Home
50.7% (1,092)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.2% (1,068)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Brière
Duchene
P1
50.5%
54.5%
P2
45.9%
54.5%
P3
48.6%
53.4%
OT
54.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |