Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.3%). Brière wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ellis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Ellis 49.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 51.8%
Defensive zone
Ellis 53.3%
Neutral zone
Brière 54.6%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Brière
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brière
Ellis
Last 5: Brière 2-3 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
0
2
Brière
Ellis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brière
Ellis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Ellis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
49.1% (53)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
50.0% (2)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
33.3% (3)
+33.4%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Brière is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Brière shoots right. Ellis is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Brière
Ellis
Home
49.2% (427)
60.0% (20)
Away
47.1% (393)
42.1% (38)
By Period
Brière
Ellis
P1
48.2%
48.0%
P2
49.5%
54.5%
P3
46.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |